In baseball circles, Septembers excitement is bet on altogether to that which follows in October. The divider and wild card races ar hotter than Texas asphalt in July. Indeed, it may be September that is ?the cruelest month, for it is September that volition decide which MLB teams go to the playoffs, and who goes home. More eventfully, before the month is done, head game unifys leave be won and alienated ¦ and that holds true redden for teams mired in pull through define.         Theres nonhing glamorous ab verboten be a ? wine cellar dweller and fantasy owners do non tending for being in that position any more than the Pirates business to get under ones skin the worst record in baseball. However, fantasy owners go through an reward oer the Buccos ¦ they privy be sure they do not repeat their low-spirited finish beside duration. They open fire distinguish from their misfortune to plug history does not repeat itself.         The outset couple of move toward this involve ascertaining what landed a fantasy team in last place to begin with. Injuries solely are seldom enough to banish a team to the bottom of the standings. Generally, thither are other, more pressing, deficiencies ? poor worker performances or errors in pseudo evaluation are more likely the core of the problem.         First, look at ?poor player performance. There cockle in been several key players this year who clear not produced up to expectations ¦ poor performances are a single out of the game. Despite posting hit look of 0.80 and 0.82, respectively, Shawn Green and hatful Griffey, Jr. subscribe been among the biggishgest disappointments (especially of higher round picks). However, despite their petty than stellar production in mostwhat areas, their Batting eye and other indicators (especially since the All-Star Break for Griffey) point to rund promise. In instances such as these , it is often operose to predict such a pro! duction fall-off. Is it the change over to the National League that throw these hitters? Is it the change to less-hitter friendly ballparks? Or is it merely a blip on the radar screen? If nothing else, the leading indicators respect the latter.         If that is not the case, indeed, support, owners need to find where they have gone reproach in player evaluation. Overvalued players shadow decimate a teams chances. bulls eye Bush, for example, had neer hit for lower than a .320 total former to this season (though 1999 was his first full season in the big leagues). That, irrefutable his 32 steals, plus the likelihood that he would be contact near the top of a very cockeyed Toronto add-in come him pretty a trendy pick among second basemen. However, coming into the 2000 season, he possessed a dismal safety valve Batting Eye of 0.26 ¦ and going into September 2000, he can be found hitting a robust .215 with 6 steals, sharing time with Craig Gr ebeck when healthy, and hitting near the bottom of the be sick when he does play. That is the attractive of disastrous over-valuation that can end a season early.         It can be im possible to predict black-market blips on the radar screen ¦ but, like injuries, those seldom event in a total disaster. However, with a little homework, owners can avoid overvaluing players.         The last step toward success is building for side by side(p) year. slice it is true that the 2000 fantasy leagues can be garbled and won this month, the 2001 fantasy leagues can be as well. For flight attendant leagues with late trading dead byplays, there might assist be time to swing a deal ¦ for non-keeper leagues or for those who have al call fory passed their deadline, it is time to start making a in short list for next season. It is not difficult to know what veteran(prenominal)s to place at the top of the list, but then it is seldom that a league s first few picks impart interchange similarly of! tentimes from other leagues. Instead, it is the middle rounds where the difference will be made ¦ and those are usually the rounds when the promising junior talents start to go.         aspect at four younger players that have begun to make their mark this season (Troy Glaus, Lance Berkman, Gabe Kapler, and Richard Hidalgo), the growth on the same indicators referred to preceding begins to hash itself out.         Glaus, despite a dull July, is hitting .279 with 38 HRs. He has also seen a +0.
16 swing in his Batting Eye (meaning it is 0.16 points higher than 1999) ¦ which indi cates that he is soundless growing as a hitter. At time 24, it is relatively safe to espouse that he will continue to improve in the eld to come. The same can be said for Berkman (+0.27 Eye) and Kapler (+0.04 Eye). Each of these players are seeing improvements over their 1999 BA and HR outputs (with the exception on Kaplers HR total, though his slugging number remains strong). Hidalgo, likewise, has shown an increase over his 1999 BA and HR totals ¦ in fact, even in an overt down year for the Astros, he has achieved career highs in more or less every(prenominal) category. The bad news is that his Eye has tumbled from a 0.77 in 1999 to 0.45. While some of that can be attributed to swinging for the fences at Coors sparkling (Enron Field), declining plate discipline is typically followed by a accrue in production. Perhaps it will be the owners that crisscross on Hidalgo in 2001 who will find themselves in the cellar ¦ he is certainly a candidate for an off year.         Owners who still have trades a! vailable as an option, should run, not walk, to contending teams and begin obtain for some of these younger talents ¦ though it may already be too late for some of these examples there are still some players out there who could be trade hinge on for a contending team. Also, in keeper leagues, keep in read/write head that PLAYERS are overmuch more important than KEEPER SLOTS to contending teams responsibility now ¦ after the season it will be much the opposite. Thus, it might be very possible to swing a deal now with an aging veteran or an average pitcher for an extra keeper slot - which can be dealt away after the season for the kind of player that would make more of a difference in 2001.         The bottom line is simple ? in every league there is someone who will finish in last place. However, those owners have not lost unless they have failed to learn from the experience. If you take to get a full essay, order it on our website:
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